The Facts Are Clear
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE, June 12, 2012
Fact 1: Votes Indicate Strong Support For Ramos: The primary election shows Ramos was the outright winner of 60% of precincts and received a little more than 47% of the vote. Compared to Neil Derry and Jim Bagley respectively receiving 32% and 21%.
Any election expert will tell you that any incumbent that receives less than 40% of the vote in the primary indicates serious doubts about their electability and they rarely turn things around in time to win the run-off.
Fact 2: Ramos enjoys strong cross party support: In addition to the overall support, Ramos appears to hold strong bi-partisan support among all parties. Insider polling two weeks before Election Day suggested Ramos was leading Derry and Bagley among almost every demographic and political party. This proves Ramos’ focus on job-creation, solving crime problems and cleaning up county government are popular among all demographics in the area. Proving the non-partisan Supervisor election has voters basing votes on issues rather than political partisanship.
Fact 3: Campaign Finance Advantage: Campaign finance records show that Neil Derry spent over $100,000 more than he raised as of the mid-May reports. Alternatively James Ramos has proven to be a prolific fundraiser. He did not spend all of his money in the primary election and will be starting the November election with a positive war chest.
Fact 4: November Turnout Favors Ramos:November turnout favors Ramos. Initial returns before the statement of the vote is released suggest that Ramos received the most significant support in the valley areas such as the city of San Bernardino, Redlands and Highland. These areas have a combined 3-1 population advantage over the rural areas such as Big Bear, Oak Glen and the Lucerne Valley. The higher turnout suggests Ramos’ lead will only increase in a November turnout that will be more than 70% (Turnout countywide in November 2008 was 74.28%).